unpredictable futures in human-AI partnerships

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Weeknotes 322 - unlocking synthetic home platform

Weeknotes 322 - unlocking synthetic home platform
Interpretation by Midjourney

Thanks for landing here and reading my weekly newsletter. If you are new here, have a more extended bio on targetisnew.com. This newsletter is my personal weekly reflection on the news of the past week, with a lens of understanding the unpredictable futures of human-ai co-performances in a context of full immersive connectedness and the impact on society, organizations, and design. Don’t hesitate to reach out if you want to know more or more specifically.

Hi all!

Still tuning this format. I got some positive feedback, but let me know if you have suggestions! Last week, everyone returned from the holiday break, and together with the CES happening, the usual selection of links has doubled… Hope that works out to keep it concise :-)

What did happen last week? ___As planned, the focus was on the report on Civic Protocol Economy, and next to this, some “left-over” organization of ThingsCon (aka administration). I also discussed some plans for the coming year and updated with two student teams working on the Hoodbot/Wijkbot workshop tooling.

What did I notice last week? ___Just after sending last week’s newsletter, the most significant announcement at CES happened; NVIDIA took that honor with an AI in a box for consumers, accessible and creating a potential new way we are going to live with our AI buddies and butlers. Or with a critical friend. Enough to dive a bit deeper with a triggered thought (below).

Next to this AI in a box, Nvidia aims to offer tools for the automated world we will live in by creating virtual environments that can feed the intelligence of agentic things, with or without human learning data. The new model of Deepseek V3 is performing quite well, apparently. Gary Marcus compares ‘BSI’: Broad, Shallow Intelligence to AGI. BSI is a better description of the current AI, probably for some time.

The CES turned out to be all about AI (as expected) and consumer robotics. As always it is hard to separate the interesting from the gimmicks (or even screaming silliness), but it a great indicator of the vibe. Robotics as part of the agentic AI and more functional robotic things instead of humanoid (or animoid) is promising. Now, there is still some more focus on social.

Robots are becoming more accessible and friendly, somewhat silly, though, as we already saw last week.

Then, there is the option to ‘add an AI to it’: AI-enhanced interactions and functions. A new Philips Hue light bulb that gets augmented reality via the app; a signature case for the coming hybrid period.

Will mind-reading devices make the connection between human and machine thinking? Such as the Omi device. Or is it like the first iteration of the glasses that learn about us?

CES was also the place where the smart home is still a promise. Or something that becomes real. You can wonder if it is now really more relevant or that there is a moving target, adapting to the latest in new technology as a driver. Now, that is AI, and agentic AI makes a lot of sense, too.

A cyber trust mark for IoT devices does bring back the initiatives from some years ago on Better IoT and Trustmark.

OpenAI is taking the initiative to build policies.

The biggest news, maybe, was the announcement that Zuckerberg would end fact-checking in Meta to please Trump and his followers. Indeed, it is rather significant but, sadly, just another step in Meta's relationship with its users as subjects. It will have a backlash but potentially destroy much of what connecting digital media can mean. It is not only dangerous, but it also creates a chilling effect on the use of social tools. We need strategies to take back agency.

An interesting take is how this is influencing living in a synthetic reality. Do robots support us in learning new collaborations? A cafe in Japan is aiming at this type of partnership, combining robot servicing with humans with the robot as the instigator.

Triggered thought ___What if the move of Meta is the first step into a complete overhaul of social media by bot actors that is more of a lurking environment of bot-generated synthetic content? It is one of the outcomes of the move towards these synthesizing machines that create synthetic models of the real world for robots to operate. Where Nvidia is doing this for the physical world, the big social media parties are doing this in our digital world. What if this AI in a box is the new type of hub unlocking a synthetic reality layer just as the internet router has created a data layer in the last decades?

Dealing with synthetic versions of reality to shape mainly our own expression will soon become common, as you can expect.

Predicting what it will lead to is hard, as these future scenarios often differ from the expected developments…

Paper of this week ___A preprint looks into the behavior of agents vs human behavior, are agents nicer when dealing with the prisoner dilemma? Fontana, N., Pierri, F., & Aiello, L. M. (2024). Nicer Than Humans: How do Large Language Models Behave in the Prisoner's Dilemma?. arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.13605.

What about the coming week? ___Very looking forward to discuss the research in a roundtable, and digest everything together in a first draft. The Rotterdam UX design students will present their end result, and I might have a look at the expo immersive environments that is also part of the civic interaction design research. For old-time sake, I might check TU Delft Dies Natalis on making sense of mobility. January is still in events, I think, but Sensemakers is having a DIY session. Next week there is a new session by Speculative Futures The Hague (in Rotterdam).

Have a great week!

References with the notions

Human-AI partnerships

Nvidia announces $3,000 personal AI supercomputer called Digits
It’s the size of a desktop.
What Nvidia Nvisions for AI
Plus: A CEO whisperer and an automated coworker
NVIDIA’s Next Frontier: AI, Robotics, and the Future of Everything
At CES 2025, Jensen Huang reveals how Blackwell, Digits, and new scaling laws rewrite the AI rules for the decade ahead.
AGI versus “broad, shallow intelligence”
The BSI we have now, versus the AGI we want
Philips Hue is getting an AI-powered lighting assistant
The generative AI feature will let users create personalized lighting scenes based on mood, occasion, and style.
Generative AI as a Critical Friend: Redefining Collaboration | Dr. Ian O’Byrne
Elon Musk says all human data for AI training ‘exhausted’
Tech boss suggests move to self-learning synthetic data though some warn this could cause ‘model collapse’
wearable AI device ‘omi’ reads minds, hears conversations and completes tasks users think of
meet omi, a wearable AI device that can read minds and complete the tasks users think of before they can even say them.
The smart glasses era is here — I got a first look
Because smart glasses need to be seen to be believed.
‘A lump of metal? Fascinating’: I get interviewed by the AI Michael Parkinson
Can the AI Parky ever beat the real chatshow colossus? As the Virtually Parkinson podcast launches, our writer sits in on a bizarre interview with Monty Don – then ends up in the hot seat himself
Stay on top of tech: five ways to take back control, from emails to AI
Is tech calling the shots in your life? From making AI work smarter to tracking stolen phones, our expert explains how to get ahead
Anthropic’s chief scientist on 4 ways agents will be even better in 2025
The hottest topic in AI is only just getting started.
How a robot cafe in Tokyo aims to empower – not replace – human workers
Inventor Kentaro Yoshifuji’s robots allow people to work at the Dawn cafe from anywhere in the world – ‘teleportation’ technology that could open up new demographics for Japan’s flatlining economy. Adam Withnall reports from Tokyo
Superintelligent judges
Can AI models judge as well as humans?
Driver in Las Vegas Cybertruck explosion used ChatGPT to plan blast, authorities say
Matthew Alan Livelsberger used the AI platform to ask for information about how he could set off an explosion, authorities said.

Robotic performances

furry robot ‘mirumi’ clips on bags and interacts with people by looking and nodding at them
at CES 2025, yukai engineering reveals mirumi, a furry clip-on robot that interacts with people by looking and nodding at them.
Pollen Robotics debuts Reachy 2 humanoid at CES 2025 - The Robot Report
Reachy 2, Pollen Robotics’ latest two-armed robot provides possibilities for research centers, industry, healthcare, and retail.

http://www.downes.ca/post/77465/rd

Tech societies

Meta just killed its diversity, equity and inclusion program
What employees are saying about the company’s embrace of MAGA ideology —and what Meta is telling them not to say
Joseph Beuys Predicted the “Manosphere”
Beuys tackled masculinity through humor and irreverence — but the subjects he parodied are increasingly a fixation for an oppressive segment of the population.
2025 may be the year AI bots takes over Meta
Can’t grow any more? Let’s just invent engagement!
How Elon Musk’s xAI is quietly taking over X
It looks like X is no longer Elon Musk’s favorite child.
X launches Grok’s iPhone app in the US
Another AI chatbot app.

https://www.axios.com/2025/01/07/openai-o3-college-students-computer-science

Keeping the seat warm between peaks of cephalopod civilisation
Posted on Friday 10 Jan 2025. 932 words, 8 links. By Matt Webb.
AI could create 78 million more jobs than it eliminates by 2030—report
As AGI talk sparks job loss fears, new WEF report projects AI-driven net job growth by 2030.
OpenAI outlines how the US could lead the global AI race | Semafor
The ChatGPT-maker published a list of policy proposals on how the US could spur the artificial intelligence industry.
‘Just the start’: X’s new AI software driving online racist abuse, experts warn
Amid reports of creation of fake racist images, Signify warns problem will get ‘so much worse’ over the next year
AI’s Uneven Arrival
o1/o3 points the way to AGI, which is AI that can complete tasks; it may take longer for most companies to adopt them than you might think — just look at digital advertising.
DeepSeek-V3: How a Chinese AI Startup Outpaces Tech Giants in Cost and Performance
Generative AI is evolving rapidly, transforming industries and creating new opportunities daily. This wave of innovation has fueled intense competition among tech companies trying to become leaders in the field. US-based companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta have dominated the field for years. However, a new contender, the China-based startup DeepSeek, is rapidly gaining ground. […]
DeepSeek V3 and the cost of frontier AI models
The $5M figure for the last training run should not be your basis for how much frontier AI models cost.
‘It’s Total Chaos Internally at Meta Right Now’: Employees Protest Zuckerberg’s Anti LGBTQ Changes
Meta’s decision to specifically allow users to call LGBTQ+ people “mentally ill” has sparked widespread backlash at the company.
The problems in the European Digital Identity (EUDI)
EUDI as is today presents big problems and disregards criticism, warnings, and requests to review technical details, with results that harm the fairness of the system and the privacy of its participants, also limiting infrastructure security and scalability.

Immersive connectiveness

The weirdest tech at CES 2025
Here’s a roundup of the unusual gadgets we spotted at CES.
inside smart gadgets at CES 2025, from XREAL AR glasses to anker’s power bank for laptops
upgraded smart and home gadgets take center stage at CES 2025, including anker’s power bank that recharges laptops.

https://thehackernews.com/2025/01/fcc-launches-cyber-trust-mark-for-iot.html

A smart ring with a tiny camera lets users point and click to control home devices
UW researchers have developed IRIS, a smart ring that allows users to point and click to control smart devices. The prototype Bluetooth ring contains a small camera which sends an image of the…
Three bizarre home devices and a couple good things at CES 2025
Some quietly good things made an appearance at CES 2025, amidst the AI slush.

MISC

dimensions of experience: a (very) preliminary theory of futuring
By considering futures as narratives, we open up the possibility of a comparative analysis of the many different modes (and media) of the practice of futuring. This unlocks in turn the further possibilities of collaboration, remix and critique, across and between those modes.
Future Trends Timeline
Explore Cadiot Agency’s Future Trends Timeline, a visionary guide to navigating upcoming cultural, political, and consumer shifts. Discover how brands can thrive in a world of digital disillusion, cultural subversion, and post-growth realities. Stay ahead with foresight into the trends shaping tomorrow.
Sandwich Economics - The BigTech you never knew
What if the greatest innovation of our times isn’t a product or a platform but an entire economic framework
Five Stories from the Distant Future - Tobias Revell
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